Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.458159 0.536161 0.623789 0.729609 0.854063 0.995942 1.170188
2024-12-15 0.344856 0.448575 0.578311 0.752927 0.982498 1.274990 1.677505
2024-12-22 0.280476 0.391081 0.539578 0.754351 1.058494 1.475981 2.096385
2024-12-29 0.240656 0.355207 0.518202 0.768347 1.145052 1.695186 2.566897
2025-01-05 0.203783 0.315750 0.483176 0.753541 1.182839 1.844244 2.952287
2025-01-12 0.176762 0.285985 0.456705 0.745239 1.225691 2.002439 3.370886
2025-01-19 0.156945 0.264134 0.438585 0.745985 1.280689 2.184347 3.852155
2025-01-26 0.147510 0.257661 0.443907 0.785322 1.404321 2.495551 4.601003
2025-02-02 0.139247 0.251822 0.449082 0.824340 1.531716 2.829336 5.440312
2025-02-09 0.130039 0.242911 0.447395 0.850128 1.637552 3.137056 6.276069
2025-02-16 0.119503 0.230077 0.436734 0.857187 1.707935 3.386004 7.032401
2025-02-23 0.108554 0.215008 0.419866 0.849601 1.747705 3.579029 7.701665
2025-03-02 0.096942 0.197532 0.396856 0.828015 1.758873 3.721590 8.300663
2025-03-09 0.091728 0.192396 0.397931 0.856721 1.880831 4.115760 9.525412
2025-03-16 0.084529 0.182141 0.387073 0.858146 1.943031 4.388234 10.515295
2025-03-23 0.079379 0.175593 0.383154 0.874154 2.040007 4.752143 11.783165
2025-03-30 0.072174 0.163591 0.365846 0.857239 2.057739 4.934218 12.632567
2025-04-06 0.066311 0.153901 0.352508 0.847755 2.091781 5.159901 13.631385
2025-04-13 0.061756 0.146690 0.343963 0.848608 2.151373 5.457076 14.870048
2025-04-20 0.060374 0.146862 0.352772 0.893548 2.329510 6.081865 17.112914
2025-04-27 0.058972 0.146803 0.361001 0.938133 2.513364 6.749547 19.597954
2025-05-04 0.056770 0.144472 0.363320 0.967606 2.660986 7.342123 21.972963
2025-05-11 0.053622 0.139336 0.357922 0.975675 2.750664 7.787719 23.988245